Market connoisseurs are drawing similarities between Stellar’s (XLM) current price movement to what already occurred twice this year. The falling wedge pattern, usually established during a continuous downward trend, is a clear indicator of a local bottom, unless the typical support levels are crushed.
XLM’s Bottom Called? Pundits Share Confident Takes
In XLM’s situation, the first breakout from the falling wedge in July took Stellar Lumens (XLM) to $0.50, bouncing off $0.24. Per Elite Crypto’s analysis, XLM’s price movement is looking identical to that instance, so “a clean 100% move from here will be highly possible” if the altcoin sustains above the $0.24 support box.
Notably, other crypto analysts share the same perspective. Crypto Patel that XLM’s price was previously trading in the lower support zone between $0.20 – $0.22 before a 32%, 53% & 138% bull run happened. If history repeats itself, XLM could retest the yearly peak – but are big-time investors sharing the same bull energy?
Stellar’s EMA Cross-Over Invites The Whales Back
Stellar’s (XLM) bulls regained some strength on Monday, as large investors, popularly referred to as crypto whales, returned to accumulate. Pointing to 0.20, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) confirms this bullish trend, even though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained in neutral mode. Meanwhile, trading volumes picked up pace at $240 million in 24 hours.
Despite neither being oversold or overbought, Stellar Lumen’s (XLM) price is flashing a ‘buy’ signal on the Parabolic Stop & Reverse (SAR) meter. As the blue dots are positioned below the price, it hints at the digital asset completing a downward trend.
However, the Parabolic SAR needs external confirmation, like the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a thin blue line depicting the general trend with smoothed-out averages. A solid cross-over above that trend-line tends to serve as a bottom sign.
On The Flipside
- Stellar’s funding rates on Derivatives markets remain negative despite the slight price bounce back this Monday.
- XLM’s bulls got liquidated for $227K out of $301K daily total, signaling bearish domination on leveraged markets.
Why This Matters
Stellar is one of the top utility altcoins having a solid track record of regulatory compliance, as seen in the ongoing implementation of the ISO 20022 messaging standard.
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People Also Ask:
Yes, price has repeatedly tapped the $0.20–$0.22 demand zone that marked the exact low in March, June, and September 2025. Each prior touch led to explosive bounces of 32 %, 53 %, and 138 % respectively.
XLM is trading inside a massive falling wedge that started in early 2025. The pattern is almost identical to the one that broke bullish in Q1 this year and delivered a clean 100 %+ rally. Current wedge is now compressing into the apex with only days or weeks left before a decisive move.
First measured move targets $0.48 (roughly +100% from current $0.24). Extended target from the full pattern sits near $0.58–$0.62, which also lines up with the 2024 highs and heavy overhead supply.
A weekly close above the upper wedge trend-line (currently ~$0.25 and falling) on expanding volume would confirm the breakout. Key support to defend in the meantime is $0.195 – lose that and the pattern invalidates.
XLM/BTC pair is also forming a multi-month base, and altcoin season signals are flashing with Bitcoin dominance rolling over. MoneyGram’s new Stellar-based remittance corridors and the upcoming Soroban smart-contract upgrade are adding real-world catalysts that weren’t present during the earlier bounces.
