XRP Hits Price Sweet Spot: One Last Hurdle Before Takeoff?

Chart Nerd describes the most plausible scenario for XRP as price bounces of the lower boundary of the Gaussian Channel.

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Ripple’s native XRP token is likely approaching the final stage before a meaningful bullish breakout can happen. Judging from the altcoin’s technical parameters, there’s a strong possibility of the ascending level support accelerating a price boost if matched with proper trading volume.

XRP’s Price Setup Delivers Three Strong Points

In a recent technical analysis, price analyst Chart Nerd has drawn this conclusion while peeking at the two-week time-frame. Multiple bullish factors converge at the same spot – a support level that’s been holding for nearly 6 years, a resistance line that hasn’t been backtested since the 2024 bull run & the foundation-building Gaussian channel.

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This establishes a falling wedge structure that’s also forming a foundation for XRP’s support during the next breakout. From a bullish perspective, a spike towards $1.80 or the $2 price tag could occur if geopolitical circumstances get priced in smoothly & the broader market is not heading towards another drastic downturn this month.

Bearish Scenario Predicts Sub-$1 Before Bounce

On the contrary, if the lower band of the Gaussian channel at $0.96 doesn’t hold, a drastic downsizing by roughly 60 – 70% could follow, just as it did during the previous bear cycles, ChartNerd notes in his technical XRP analysis. Currently, the OG altcoin is trading at $1.40, picking up mild gains of 1.17% since yesterday.

The $2 and beyond territory hasn’t been chartered since late January, 2026. Following the start of the war in Iran, the Strait of Hormuz stopped operating in a regular way, adding more uncertainty across all financial markets. If economic instability gets priced in quicker, XRP holders could benefit from the bounce, history suggests.

According to Chart Nerd’s estimations, bear cycles push XRP’s price down 60 – 70%, but the patient ones always get rewarded – Chart Nerd has drawn attention to numerous triple-digit upswings that followed later, highlighting the last 169% run to XRP’s $3.65 all-time high, picked up last Summer as Ripple settled with the SEC for $50M.

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People Also Ask:

What’s this “final hurdle” or “sweet spot”?

It’s a special price zone on the long-term chart where several important trend lines come together. The analyst sees it as the last major test XRP needs to clear before a real bullish move can begin — likely later in 2026.

Where is the XRP price now?

These days, the price of XRP is trading in a tight range between $1.30–$1.40. It has already fallen more than 55-60% from its recent peak, which is typical during crypto bear markets.

What key prices should I watch?

The potential final bottom (the “sweet spot”) sits between $0.70 and $1.00. There could be a short-term bounce up toward $1.80–$2.00 first, but even that wouldn’t guarantee the bottom is in — another drop is still possible.

When could the big bullish shift happen?

Not immediately. The analyst expects the final hurdle and true trend change to play out deeper into 2026. This year is mostly about building a solid base rather than a massive rally.

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This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Tadas Klimasevskis

Tadas Klimaševskis is a Ciphera Journalist, covering memecoins & latest developments. Tadas has moderate holdings in SHIB, HBAR, LTC, MATIC and a selection of low-cap meme currencies.

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